Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Fri May 07 23:20:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm I haven't, although we're probably at the point now where even in blue states, it's mostly red people who are vax-resistant. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm It's the sharp, nonlinear nature of the decline and the exact timing of the decline with the J&J pause that implicates it. You would have expected a much more rounded peak under normal conditions. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 7, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're at 45k cases/day with a week to go here so should wind up being fairly close between the bottom two categories. Good job by the wisdom of crowds here as most correctly saw cases declining by this point despite a lot of media consternation about a "fourth wave". — PolitiTweet.org

The 7-day average COVID-19 case count is currently ~65K (per Worldometers) in the US. What will it be on May 15?

Posted May 8, 2021