Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2021

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Sat May 08 17:20:56 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Noahpinion I think it's complicated. First wave, there was lots of staying at home, but tests were very hard to come by and messaging around masks was mixed. 2nd and 3rd waves, better masking and testing, and more of an understanding that outdoors was safer, but much less staying at home. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're at 45k cases/day with a week to go here so should wind up being fairly close between the bottom two categories. Good job by the wisdom of crowds here as most correctly saw cases declining by this point despite a lot of media consternation about a "fourth wave". — PolitiTweet.org

The 7-day average COVID-19 case count is currently ~65K (per Worldometers) in the US. What will it be on May 15?

Posted May 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Without getting into a debate about how one ought to define herd immunity or a prediction about what might happen, it was kind of silly to see articles this week claiming that the notion of herd immunity in the US was *off the table*. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 9, 2021