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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think the disagreement is actually different and a bit less exciting in some sense. It's mainly that I don't think there's solid statistical evidence for the premise that "polls are getting worse" as opposed to the null of "polling accuracy varies from cycle to cycle". — PolitiTweet.org

I'd boil down the disagreement to one fundamental thing: I think low systemic bias is far, far more important than… https://t.co/TFuB2viYbd

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Finally, here's how the most prolific pollsters fared in the general election. The best-performing pollster was AtlasIntel! Second was Trafalgar! Yeah, they incorrectly had Trump winning a few states, but they were close on the margins, and that's the better metric. https://t.co/yqfbjCequB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Although, I do actually think you're likely to see errors be more correlated/systematic going forward, as I write in the story. Although I think that's more a function of the political environment than the polls per se. https://t.co/W6r5Xq3CrT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021