Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 13, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 15:05:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Although, I do actually think you're likely to see errors be more correlated/systematic going forward, as I write in the story. Although I think that's more a function of the political environment than the polls per se. https://t.co/W6r5Xq3CrT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think the disagreement is actually different and a bit less exciting in some sense. It's mainly that I don't think there's solid statistical evidence for the premise that "polls are getting worse" as opposed to the null of "polling accuracy varies from cycle to cycle". — PolitiTweet.org

I'd boil down the disagreement to one fundamental thing: I think low systemic bias is far, far more important than… https://t.co/TFuB2viYbd

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn A bit of both but mostly the latter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021