Profile Image

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No
Hibernated No
Last Checked March 25, 2021

Created

Thu Mar 04 19:04:06 +0000 2021

Likes

299

Retweets

60

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available
Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the CDC's forecast from January of what happens when you have rising levels of B.1.1.7 on the one hand, but vaccination happening on the other hand, has been rather accurate so far (see the graph on the right which pretty closely matches real-world data). — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The CDC's forecasting agrees with this. The graph on the right shows what happens if we start out with an Rt of ~0.… https://t.co/b7x7fp3hxl

Posted March 4, 2021

Preceded By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara Why not just say "Vaccines do considerably reduce transmission, but not eliminate it completely. So long as community transmission is high, we're making the small ask for vaccinated people to keep masking up. We'll likely be able to ditch this ask once transmission falls more." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2021

Followed By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The news here is mixed. That forecast shows about now is when you'd expect the decline to turn into more of a plateau. On the other hand, it doesn't show a spike. But! This model assumed that we were issuing 1 million vaccine doses a day, and now we're up to roughly twice that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2021