Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

Created

Thu Dec 17 20:48:46 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Additionally, RAPTOR includes an important property that PREDATOR does not. Basically, it works backward by starting with the team's performance and forcing the player ratings to sum up to the team rating. In PREDATOR this assumption is relaxed. 9/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But what works best for projecting *player* performance may not be optimal for projecting *team* performance. Or at least, that's what we believe after looking at the problem this winter. What looks like "luck" to PREDATOR may really reflect a player's role with the team. 8/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One issue with RAPTOR and other +/- systems is they can sometimes misallocate credit between teammates. So e.g. maybe they had Harden too high and Russell Westbrook too low. If you're forecasting how they'll do now that they're on separate teams, that could be a problem. 10/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2020