Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2020

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Wed Nov 25 14:01:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro That's plausible for sure. Although if true in some ways a bearish read for the GOP in the short term, since in 2022 they'll probably still be seen as the party of Trump (largely unpopular with swing voters) without having the turnout boost that Trump provides. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The GOP has lost a lot of elections, after all: before Trump this year, Romney, McCain, Dole, Bush 41. Bush 43 won twice, but was unpopular enough by the end (resulting in bad GOP years in 2006 and 2008) that it probably isn't easy to sell as having been electorally successful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@DKThomp Trumpism-has-a-high-floor is a part of the story for sure. If you overperform in white rural states, you're going to hold the Senate a large majority of the time, even if you usually lose the presidency and are up-and-down in the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020