Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2020

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Wed Nov 25 13:54:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The GOP has lost a lot of elections, after all: before Trump this year, Romney, McCain, Dole, Bush 41. Bush 43 won twice, but was unpopular enough by the end (resulting in bad GOP years in 2006 and 2008) that it probably isn't easy to sell as having been electorally successful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's the "mediocre at best" part that people will take to be provocative, I suppose. But it's the "not clear that the GOP's alternatives are better" part that may be more interesting: both the perception of it (does the GOP view moderation as a losing strategy?) and the reality. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro That's plausible for sure. Although if true in some ways a bearish read for the GOP in the short term, since in 2022 they'll probably still be seen as the party of Trump (largely unpopular with swing voters) without having the turnout boost that Trump provides. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020