Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 16, 2020

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Wed Nov 25 13:51:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's the "mediocre at best" part that people will take to be provocative, I suppose. But it's the "not clear that the GOP's alternatives are better" part that may be more interesting: both the perception of it (does the GOP view moderation as a losing strategy?) and the reality. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Thesis that might be worth exploring: Trumpism isn't a terribly effective electoral strategy—its track record is mediocre at best, even considering how much overperforming with noncollege whites helps with the Senate etc—but it's not clear that the GOP's alternatives are better. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The GOP has lost a lot of elections, after all: before Trump this year, Romney, McCain, Dole, Bush 41. Bush 43 won twice, but was unpopular enough by the end (resulting in bad GOP years in 2006 and 2008) that it probably isn't easy to sell as having been electorally successful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 25, 2020