Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Dec. 8, 2020

Created

Wed Nov 18 19:39:03 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bruce_arthur I don't buy either that a consensus of epidemiologists are saying that, or that it's robust analysis if they are. There are no magic inflection points here. And you'd measure growth by Rt, not the positivity rate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not as though 3% is some tried-and-true, empirically- derived heuristic that's proven robust over many past pandemics. Everybody is just making this shit up as they go along! It's completely arbitrary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bruce_arthur You just can't learn that much from the positivity rate alone, though. If you have a positivity rate of 3% and it was 0.3% a week ago, that indicates exponential growth. If it was 3% and it was 6% a week ago, that indicates decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020