Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 8, 2020

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Wed Nov 18 19:47:50 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bruce_arthur You just can't learn that much from the positivity rate alone, though. If you have a positivity rate of 3% and it was 0.3% a week ago, that indicates exponential growth. If it was 3% and it was 6% a week ago, that indicates decline. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bruce_arthur I don't buy either that a consensus of epidemiologists are saying that, or that it's robust analysis if they are. There are no magic inflection points here. And you'd measure growth by Rt, not the positivity rate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bruce_arthur No but the increase is pretty modest. It's been at 2.5%ish for a while, slowly ticking upward. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020