Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 8, 2020

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Wed Nov 18 19:28:22 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not as though 3% is some tried-and-true, empirically- derived heuristic that's proven robust over many past pandemics. Everybody is just making this shit up as they go along! It's completely arbitrary. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't get why NYC feels bound to stick by a 3% positivity rule for closing schools when we know more about the virus now, including relatively low rates of transmission in schools. If I were a parent I'd be furious. https://t.co/CfZJPDYENy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@bruce_arthur I don't buy either that a consensus of epidemiologists are saying that, or that it's robust analysis if they are. There are no magic inflection points here. And you'd measure growth by Rt, not the positivity rate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2020