Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Sun Nov 08 17:54:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also not as though COVID was something that necessarily doomed Trump. Off-hand, lots of incumbents around the world—in countries that handled it even marginally better than the US—seemed to see their popularity rise. (We're working on more rigorous analysis on this topic.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Per our reckoning, Trump *underperformed* the fundamentals by 4-5 points based on some combination of his COVID handling and ... everything else. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are some reasons to think Biden could be reasonably popular. His personal favorable ratings are decent. Next year may be a year of improvement for the economy and the pandemic. — PolitiTweet.org

Obama had a multi-year economic headwind due to something that happened before he got elected (the financial crisis… https://t.co/S5anKMFHZZ

Posted Nov. 8, 2020