Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Sun Nov 08 21:25:12 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are some reasons to think Biden could be reasonably popular. His personal favorable ratings are decent. Next year may be a year of improvement for the economy and the pandemic. — PolitiTweet.org

Obama had a multi-year economic headwind due to something that happened before he got elected (the financial crisis… https://t.co/S5anKMFHZZ

Posted Nov. 8, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also not as though COVID was something that necessarily doomed Trump. Off-hand, lots of incumbents around the world—in countries that handled it even marginally better than the US—seemed to see their popularity rise. (We're working on more rigorous analysis on this topic.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That Democrats will have at best a 50-50 Senate majority and more likely a 48-52 minority will constrain Biden's policy ambitions, which is obviously awful news for Democrats overall but also means any policies Biden is able to pass thru Congress will likely be broadly popular. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2020