Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Oct 27 01:45:44 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, more or less. Biden's lost maybe 0.5 or 1 point in our state polling average. But, Trump has lost time off his clock. So it's pretty much evened out and Biden has been steady at ~87% to win for a week or two now. — PolitiTweet.org

Am I correct in guessing that this is why the 538 model has stayed steady with Biden @ 87% - gains triggered by mod… https://t.co/lXg4IliGK9

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the national polls we have so far, Biden's numbers look a bit better in polls taken immediately after the debate than polls taken just beforehand, though not as good as in that early-mid October stretch. Also not a ton of polling, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may be worth noting again that Democrats seem to be sending in their mail ballots considerably sooner than Republicans. Democrats are +27.5% on returned ballots so far, but a narrower +12.7% on ballots requested but not yet returned. https://t.co/Ii5lBCeY9j — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated