Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Oct 27 02:27:10 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may be worth noting again that Democrats seem to be sending in their mail ballots considerably sooner than Republicans. Democrats are +27.5% on returned ballots so far, but a narrower +12.7% on ballots requested but not yet returned. https://t.co/Ii5lBCeY9j — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, more or less. Biden's lost maybe 0.5 or 1 point in our state polling average. But, Trump has lost time off his clock. So it's pretty much evened out and Biden has been steady at ~87% to win for a week or two now. — PolitiTweet.org

Am I correct in guessing that this is why the 538 model has stayed steady with Biden @ 87% - gains triggered by mod… https://t.co/lXg4IliGK9

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think I should make a file of times when I'm pretty sure people's takes aren't great, but also I don't know *quite* enough about the subject to weigh in. Just to see whether the takes really were bad in the end. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2020 Hibernated