Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Mon Oct 26 18:55:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our current trifecta chances: https://t.co/He5gzzliWS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@IChotiner In the abstract, I guess that's right (early vote = less potential for late swings) but I also have no idea if pollsters are accounting for the early vote properly which creates some additional uncertainty. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I would note that the gap is a little bit narrower in our *forecast*: Biden +5.1 in Pennsylvania vs. +7.8 in the national popular vote. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Biden will more likely than not win anyway, but the size of the gap between the national polling and the PA polling… https://t.co/83vf0AFD7E

Posted Oct. 26, 2020 Hibernated