Tweet by @NateSilver538

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia's moved up to a ~3% chance of being the tipping-point state. That isn't high but it's the same as say NV. And if the Biden internals have a point or two closer to the tipping point than the public polls do, then a visit starts to become compelling. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/UvveKaINhS — PolitiTweet.org

With how by-the-book this campaign has been, this is malpractice *unless* they think they’ve got 270 locked up. https://t.co/lzwYFD3QWg

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What we can say from the early voting data is that Democratic turnout is likely to be very high. Will Republican turnout be very high also? Yes, I *think* so, very likely. But it's easier to be certain that Democratic turnout will be very high because of the early voting numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The early vote. Because those hot takes last for a few weeks and not just a few hours. — PolitiTweet.org

Which is the source of a greater amount of bad hot takes: early vote or early wave exit polls?

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated