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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 5, 2021

Created

Sat Oct 24 23:46:15 +0000 2020

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1,615

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75

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The early vote. Because those hot takes last for a few weeks and not just a few hours. — PolitiTweet.org

John Dickerson @jdickerson

Which is the source of a greater amount of bad hot takes: early vote or early wave exit polls?

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia's moved up to a ~3% chance of being the tipping-point state. That isn't high but it's the same as say NV. And if the Biden internals have a point or two closer to the tipping point than the public polls do, then a visit starts to become compelling. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/UvveKaINhS — PolitiTweet.org

Conor Sen @conorsen

With how by-the-book this campaign has been, this is malpractice *unless* they think they’ve got 270 locked up. https://t.co/lzwYFD3QWg

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

(Also, the early exit polls are often decently predictive, FWIW, though I'd be very very very very careful with them this year when you have to blend in-person + mail voting.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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