Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 5, 2021

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Sat Oct 24 22:19:34 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What we can say from the early voting data is that Democratic turnout is likely to be very high. Will Republican turnout be very high also? Yes, I *think* so, very likely. But it's easier to be certain that Democratic turnout will be very high because of the early voting numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor @Nate_Cohn I do think it's important to look at one's edge cases! But the Economist guys tend to bring up stuff that's more debatable than wrong, and which I'm pretty sure is directionally the right approach in terms of our model's takeaways, even if you can quibble with the implementation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia's moved up to a ~3% chance of being the tipping-point state. That isn't high but it's the same as say NV. And if the Biden internals have a point or two closer to the tipping point than the public polls do, then a visit starts to become compelling. https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/UvveKaINhS — PolitiTweet.org

With how by-the-book this campaign has been, this is malpractice *unless* they think they’ve got 270 locked up. https://t.co/lzwYFD3QWg

Posted Oct. 24, 2020 Hibernated