Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked July 31, 2021

Created

Thu Oct 22 22:33:44 +0000 2020

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I'm not sure I buy that conditional on not having voted yet, a Democrat who says they're going to vote on Election Day is less likely to do so than a Republican. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I mean I think the way to do it is just to use weighted turnout probabilities where "already voted" gets a slightly higher weight (though not 100% since people can lie and ballots can be spoiled) but you also get the long tail of unlikely voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro Yeah, especially since it's those folks who are more likely to not ultimately have their vote counted. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated