Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 22:18:33 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We also learned that high-quality polls in PA are continuing to cluster around a 6 or perhaps 6.5 point Biden lead, and high quality polls in Florida are +3 or +4 Biden, on average. That's what our model thought all along rather than being thrown off the scent by spammy polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, though, this was a day that brought some clarity. One of Trump's worst days of state polling in a while, but one of his better days for national polls, closing what had been a gap between them. Both now seem to point to perhaps a 9 or 9.5 point Biden lead nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The data in the Midwest has been a bit more confusing. You can find a few comparatively bright spots for Trump in WI and OH polls recently, but not many in MI or IA. It's probably mostly noise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated