Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 22:15:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, though, this was a day that brought some clarity. One of Trump's worst days of state polling in a while, but one of his better days for national polls, closing what had been a gap between them. Both now seem to point to perhaps a 9 or 9.5 point Biden lead nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously a fairly awful result for Trump in Michigan, but these other ones he can live with given that Fox News state polls have actually had pretty good numbers for Biden this year. — PolitiTweet.org

🚨 NEW Fox News Polls 🚨 Michigan Biden: 52% Trump: 40% Ohio Trump: 48% Biden: 45% Pennsylvani… https://t.co/29ei1r9l7x

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We also learned that high-quality polls in PA are continuing to cluster around a 6 or perhaps 6.5 point Biden lead, and high quality polls in Florida are +3 or +4 Biden, on average. That's what our model thought all along rather than being thrown off the scent by spammy polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated