Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 22:09:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously a fairly awful result for Trump in Michigan, but these other ones he can live with given that Fox News state polls have actually had pretty good numbers for Biden this year. — PolitiTweet.org

🚨 NEW Fox News Polls 🚨 Michigan Biden: 52% Trump: 40% Ohio Trump: 48% Biden: 45% Pennsylvani… https://t.co/29ei1r9l7x

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So while one can see why this would reduce polling error (if voters lock in their choice earlier, that's nice for pollsters) and that's something to consider when evaluating the chance of a Trump comeback, I think there are still some real challengers for pollsters here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, though, this was a day that brought some clarity. One of Trump's worst days of state polling in a while, but one of his better days for national polls, closing what had been a gap between them. Both now seem to point to perhaps a 9 or 9.5 point Biden lead nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated