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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Wed Oct 21 22:24:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The data in the Midwest has been a bit more confusing. You can find a few comparatively bright spots for Trump in WI and OH polls recently, but not many in MI or IA. It's probably mostly noise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We also learned that high-quality polls in PA are continuing to cluster around a 6 or perhaps 6.5 point Biden lead, and high quality polls in Florida are +3 or +4 Biden, on average. That's what our model thought all along rather than being thrown off the scent by spammy polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A map of where the candidates are >50% in our polling average. (Gray = neither candidate above 50). https://t.co/jrUKgB26b2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2020 Hibernated