Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked July 25, 2021

Created

Mon Oct 19 15:15:02 +0000 2020

Likes

1,875

Retweets

105

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's possible! That's why Trump has a 12% chance of winning and not zero. But there's no particular reason to *expect* that as opposed to, say, a polling miss that favors Biden instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a lot of, IMO, fairly inconsequential arguments about how Biden's current standing in the polls compares to Clinton's at this point in 2016. If, as in 2016, there's a 3-point swing toward Trump in the closing days *and* a 3-point error in Trump's favor it'll be close! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's lead doesn't magically go from "safe" to "unsafe" based on some ad hoc comparison to 2016. This all exists along a probabilistic spectrum. And that cuts in both directions. Even if Biden's position is stronger (it is) there could be a *larger* polling error than in 2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated