Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked July 25, 2021

Created

Mon Oct 19 15:15:02 +0000 2020

Likes

2,603

Retweets

246

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a lot of, IMO, fairly inconsequential arguments about how Biden's current standing in the polls compares to Clinton's at this point in 2016. If, as in 2016, there's a 3-point swing toward Trump in the closing days *and* a 3-point error in Trump's favor it'll be close! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Timodc @ianbassin @Nate_Cohn @benensonj @Redistrict Yeah his notion that polling is sort of a patchwork quilt where you need to draw together respondents from different modes to get the sample right is highly..unconventional...and seems like it would leave a lot of room for subjectivity and confirmation bias. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's possible! That's why Trump has a 12% chance of winning and not zero. But there's no particular reason to *expect* that as opposed to, say, a polling miss that favors Biden instead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated