Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Mon Oct 19 14:31:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Timodc @ianbassin @Nate_Cohn @benensonj @Redistrict Yeah his notion that polling is sort of a patchwork quilt where you need to draw together respondents from different modes to get the sample right is highly..unconventional...and seems like it would leave a lot of room for subjectivity and confirmation bias. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also worth revisiting the old @Nate_Cohn critique of PPP. Not because PPP is necessarily still up to this, but because it shows how a pollster can be collecting real data but applying dubious assumptions to it rather than letting the data speak for itself. https://t.co/4MO3d1b2p8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a lot of, IMO, fairly inconsequential arguments about how Biden's current standing in the polls compares to Clinton's at this point in 2016. If, as in 2016, there's a 3-point swing toward Trump in the closing days *and* a 3-point error in Trump's favor it'll be close! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 19, 2020 Hibernated