Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked June 29, 2021

Created

Sat Oct 17 15:07:43 +0000 2020

Likes

865

Retweets

120

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1. Early-arriving mail votes (VERY D) 2. Late-arriving mail votes (probably somewhat D, but hard to say) 3. Early in-person votes (somewhat D) 4. In-person Election Day votes (VERY R) 5. Provisional ballots (traditionally D but harder to say this year) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, when it comes to vote counting and the timing of when states are called or what the results look like on a given point on Nov. 3, 4, etc. people are actually oversimplifying when they talk about mail votes (D) vs. in-person votes (R). There are really 5 relevant tranches: — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In certain states, some of these distinctions may collapse (e.g. if early in-person votes are counted simultaneously with Election Day in-person votes) but overall there are a lot of moving parts and which tranches are counted at which time will differ from state to state. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated