Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 29, 2021

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Sat Oct 17 15:10:27 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In certain states, some of these distinctions may collapse (e.g. if early in-person votes are counted simultaneously with Election Day in-person votes) but overall there are a lot of moving parts and which tranches are counted at which time will differ from state to state. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1. Early-arriving mail votes (VERY D) 2. Late-arriving mail votes (probably somewhat D, but hard to say) 3. Early in-person votes (somewhat D) 4. In-person Election Day votes (VERY R) 5. Provisional ballots (traditionally D but harder to say this year) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Taniel: This: over past decade, there’ve been very set expectations of how much Dem gains in AZ & CA once late-mail is counted, & so a… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Retweet Hibernated