Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked June 29, 2021

Created

Sat Oct 17 14:57:02 +0000 2020

Likes

571

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also keep in that in the world in which the race is close enough for this to matter is probably a world in which Trump has made a fairly big comeback to close the race to say Biden +5. If there's late movement toward Trump, late-received mail ballots might not be so blue at all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This means there might not be as much of a blue shift in states with late-counted mail ballots, especially ballots that arrive after Election Day in states that allow that, as people might assume. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, when it comes to vote counting and the timing of when states are called or what the results look like on a given point on Nov. 3, 4, etc. people are actually oversimplifying when they talk about mail votes (D) vs. in-person votes (R). There are really 5 relevant tranches: — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2020 Hibernated