Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

Created

Wed Oct 07 13:22:19 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is one of the dumbest misconceptions about probabilistic models. The 538 model doesn't assume that polls are right. It does exactly the opposite: **it tells you the chance that the polls will be wrong**. https://t.co/BPVRsBNpWk https://t.co/Tt038PVDz1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

None of this is *surprising* I guess but this all feels very world-historic. These events will be remembered for a very long time and so will the people (like Haberman) who were the best at chronicling them. — PolitiTweet.org

.@anniekarni and me on the latest in a White House where people are simultaneously stunned by the virus outbreak th… https://t.co/caVlI62ziD

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Donald Trump is getting absolutely, completely crushed in the polls right now. They point toward the biggest landslide since 1984. Despite that, he has about a 17% chance of winning, which isn't bad. Why? The polls might be wrong! https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated