Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

Created

Wed Oct 07 13:23:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Donald Trump is getting absolutely, completely crushed in the polls right now. They point toward the biggest landslide since 1984. Despite that, he has about a 17% chance of winning, which isn't bad. Why? The polls might be wrong! https://t.co/ajG88SznSA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is one of the dumbest misconceptions about probabilistic models. The 538 model doesn't assume that polls are right. It does exactly the opposite: **it tells you the chance that the polls will be wrong**. https://t.co/BPVRsBNpWk https://t.co/Tt038PVDz1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our House forecast is up! Democrats are pretty big favorites (93%) to keep the House. https://t.co/QKlcUIOE0s https://t.co/l08MbFwf6c — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated