Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked May 30, 2021

Created

Wed Oct 07 01:14:41 +0000 2020

Likes

3,029

Retweets

303

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

None of this is *surprising* I guess but this all feels very world-historic. These events will be remembered for a very long time and so will the people (like Haberman) who were the best at chronicling them. — PolitiTweet.org

.@anniekarni and me on the latest in a White House where people are simultaneously stunned by the virus outbreak th… https://t.co/caVlI62ziD

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But here's where there's some ambiguity: I'd guess that Biden would be up by a bit more like 9 points if every pollster released a national poll today. But, there's likely to be some mean-reversion. Technically, our average tries to guess what polls will say for the next 2 weeks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is one of the dumbest misconceptions about probabilistic models. The 538 model doesn't assume that polls are right. It does exactly the opposite: **it tells you the chance that the polls will be wrong**. https://t.co/BPVRsBNpWk https://t.co/Tt038PVDz1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated