Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 30, 2021

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Wed Oct 07 00:55:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But here's where there's some ambiguity: I'd guess that Biden would be up by a bit more like 9 points if every pollster released a national poll today. But, there's likely to be some mean-reversion. Technically, our average tries to guess what polls will say for the next 2 weeks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's lead in our national polling average is now up to an even 9 points and TBH if anything that feels a little conservative. Post-debate national polls published today showed +16, +14, +12, +10, +9, and +8. The USC tracker is also up to Biden +11/12. https://t.co/cy51vc5isJ https://t.co/hvBW5qzX95 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

None of this is *surprising* I guess but this all feels very world-historic. These events will be remembered for a very long time and so will the people (like Haberman) who were the best at chronicling them. — PolitiTweet.org

.@anniekarni and me on the latest in a White House where people are simultaneously stunned by the virus outbreak th… https://t.co/caVlI62ziD

Posted Oct. 7, 2020 Hibernated