Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Fri Sep 25 21:36:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No. 3: The perception that Trump will steal the election could lower turnout No. 4: The perception that Trump will steal the election could cause strategic blunders by Democrats No. 5: Either side could have trouble accepting the result even if the election ends up being fair — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Issue No. 1: There's also an election to cover, with a pandemic, SCOTUS pick, racial protests, etc. No. 2: Instilling fear or ambiguity is a classic authoritarian tactic, and there is some risk of amplifying Trump's message in a way that undermines trust in the electoral process — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not persuasive to cite 2000 because 2000 involved an extraordinarily close vote (within 0.009%) in which it was genuinely ambiguous who won. The odds of having that close a result in a tipping-point state are very low. The Q is what Trump could do in a less-close race. — PolitiTweet.org

People on this site are saying it's too unlikely to take seriously the possibility that a Republican candidate for… https://t.co/mGzmo2sVP5

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated