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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Fri Sep 25 21:36:56 +0000 2020

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584

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53

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Issue No. 1: There's also an election to cover, with a pandemic, SCOTUS pick, racial protests, etc. No. 2: Instilling fear or ambiguity is a classic authoritarian tactic, and there is some risk of amplifying Trump's message in a way that undermines trust in the electoral process — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No one is debating that. In fact, I have said explicitly that it's important to pay attention to. But there are some issues that can arise from treating it as a high-probability event instead of a low-to-medium probability one. — PolitiTweet.org

Jordan Weissmann @JHWeissmann

Let's assume, for the sake of argument, that Nate is right. Sometimes, it's important to pay attention to the possi… https://t.co/MqJy1KTFCL

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No. 3: The perception that Trump will steal the election could lower turnout No. 4: The perception that Trump will steal the election could cause strategic blunders by Democrats No. 5: Either side could have trouble accepting the result even if the election ends up being fair — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2020 Hibernated

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