Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 16, 2021

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Sun Sep 20 15:58:55 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK, here's a "fun" question. Our model has Biden with similar odds (about 1 in 3) of winning each of Iowa, Georgia and Texas. If you had to bet on him winning one of the 3, which would you bet on? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bunch of state polls today, but all pretty close to the averages in their respective states. Presumably we'll get Iowa presidential numbers from Selzer soon, too. Could be interesting with Biden polling well in demographically similar states like MN & ME. https://t.co/9AeTKX5o0O https://t.co/RMp5L0AJXX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other point of context about the Senate: The battle for the Senate has often been quite *competitive* in recent elections, which might seem to contradict the notion that there's a built-in GOP advantage. But that's not necessarily how these things work. — PolitiTweet.org

We ran the numbers, and the Senate is currently around *6 to 7 points* (!) more Republican than the country as a wh… https://t.co/fPu0pcKHBz

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated