Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 16, 2021

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Sun Sep 20 15:53:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bunch of state polls today, but all pretty close to the averages in their respective states. Presumably we'll get Iowa presidential numbers from Selzer soon, too. Could be interesting with Biden polling well in demographically similar states like MN & ME. https://t.co/9AeTKX5o0O https://t.co/RMp5L0AJXX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

PS the Senate skew toward Republicans (6-7 points) is both bigger and more permanent than the Electoral College one (2-3 points) or the one in the House (a bit tricky to measure but probably amounts to 2-4 points in practice right now and possibly less after 2020 redistricting). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK, here's a "fun" question. Our model has Biden with similar odds (about 1 in 3) of winning each of Iowa, Georgia and Texas. If you had to bet on him winning one of the 3, which would you bet on? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2020 Hibernated