Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 27, 2021

Created

Wed Sep 16 16:33:47 +0000 2020

Likes

983

Retweets

201

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin Trafalgar at least has some sort of "shy Trump" theory, but they haven't explained it too well and even if it holds, I'm not sure it's appropriate to apply to an IVR poll. Rasmussen just honestly doesn't give a shit, I don't think. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, there is a market for explicitly Trump-leaning polls because of 2016 (despite the fact that their performance was um, iffy, in 2018). That's one reason why it's hard to predict in which direction the polls might be biased; polls are responsive to the previous election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, recently Trump has been getting some fairly awful results in swing state polls while national polls have tightened a bit. It is fairly likely that is noise, i.e. that Trump is getting a little unlucky in state polls but lucky in national polls and things will even out. But... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated