Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 16 16:30:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course, there is a market for explicitly Trump-leaning polls because of 2016 (despite the fact that their performance was um, iffy, in 2018). That's one reason why it's hard to predict in which direction the polls might be biased; polls are responsive to the previous election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm really not into policing polls with strong house effects (that consistently lean toward one party). Good to have diverse approaches. But I do think it's bad if, rather than explaining why they have a house effect, the firms accuse anyone who points it out of being a shill. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin Trafalgar at least has some sort of "shy Trump" theory, but they haven't explained it too well and even if it holds, I'm not sure it's appropriate to apply to an IVR poll. Rasmussen just honestly doesn't give a shit, I don't think. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2020 Hibernated