Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated Yes

Last Checked April 10, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 15 17:26:19 +0000 2020

Likes

458

Retweets

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Internally the model also calculates a national snapshot which is basically where it thinks the race currently stands based mostly on *state* polling. We don't publish that number (maybe we should) but it looks like it's closer to Biden +8 than Biden +7 right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW our forecast doesn't really use national polls for much. Their main purpose is for detecting a trend line, which is used to adjust polling averages in states with little recent polling. But with swing states having lots of polling lately, that adjustment doesn't matter much. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I was saying the polls are being sponsored by a partisan organization, not accusing *you* of being a partisan pollster, but it's a huge tell that your mind instantly goes to "agenda driven polling". — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Still miffed about that @RobertCahaly bet thing accusing us of partisan polling, when you’re the pos… https://t.co/05PCFzvYZn

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated