Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 10, 2021

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Tue Sep 15 18:25:16 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I was saying the polls are being sponsored by a partisan organization, not accusing *you* of being a partisan pollster, but it's a huge tell that your mind instantly goes to "agenda driven polling". — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Still miffed about that @RobertCahaly bet thing accusing us of partisan polling, when you’re the pos… https://t.co/05PCFzvYZn

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Internally the model also calculates a national snapshot which is basically where it thinks the race currently stands based mostly on *state* polling. We don't publish that number (maybe we should) but it looks like it's closer to Biden +8 than Biden +7 right now. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've had years (notably including 2016) where our model was more bullish on Republicans than the consensus, and others where it was more so on Democrats. With your polls, by contrast, it's always easy to predict what they'll say ahead of time. That's a really bad sign. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2020 Hibernated