Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Sep 12 13:22:05 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So Biden's losing ground in 3 of 4, but the one where he's gaining (MN) is arguably the most important of the four. Why? WI has been polled a ton, so no one poll will influence our model that much. The other 3 haven't been polled much, but MN has more electoral votes than NH+NV. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's lead in our polling averages before/after these polls: MN +6.4 -> +7.4 NH: +8.4 -> +6.9 NV: +6.5 -> +5.9 WI: +6.9 -> +6.5 — PolitiTweet.org

Biden maintains a lead in Wisconsin and Trump's three best pick-up opportunities, among likely voters MN: Biden 50… https://t.co/CbtO8xcxcr

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of the four key Midwest/Rust Belt battlegrounds, we're getting a pretty clear hierarchy where WI and PA are more competitive than MI and MN. You wouldn't go so far as to say Biden doesn't need to worry about MI/MN, but they've become less likely tipping points. https://t.co/iAGM4p2JS8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated