Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Sep 12 13:31:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of the four key Midwest/Rust Belt battlegrounds, we're getting a pretty clear hierarchy where WI and PA are more competitive than MI and MN. You wouldn't go so far as to say Biden doesn't need to worry about MI/MN, but they've become less likely tipping points. https://t.co/iAGM4p2JS8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So Biden's losing ground in 3 of 4, but the one where he's gaining (MN) is arguably the most important of the four. Why? WI has been polled a ton, so no one poll will influence our model that much. The other 3 haven't been polled much, but MN has more electoral votes than NH+NV. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's worth keeping in mind that polls were unbiased *on the whole* in 2018, though there were some biases in different states/regions that counteracted one another a bit. https://t.co/juXo1os1ZW https://t.co/Yo5sTgPcyF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated