Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Sat Sep 12 13:13:40 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden's lead in our polling averages before/after these polls: MN +6.4 -> +7.4 NH: +8.4 -> +6.9 NV: +6.5 -> +5.9 WI: +6.9 -> +6.5 — PolitiTweet.org

Biden maintains a lead in Wisconsin and Trump's three best pick-up opportunities, among likely voters MN: Biden 50… https://t.co/CbtO8xcxcr

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Incidentally, you may notice that a LOT of the prominent Senate challengers this year have little or no experience in elected office. That doesn't seem to be as much of a disadvantage as it once was. You can run a perfectly decent campaign as a "generic" Democrat or Republican. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So Biden's losing ground in 3 of 4, but the one where he's gaining (MN) is arguably the most important of the four. Why? WI has been polled a ton, so no one poll will influence our model that much. The other 3 haven't been polled much, but MN has more electoral votes than NH+NV. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 12, 2020 Hibernated