Profile Image

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No
Hibernated Yes
Last Checked April 1, 2021

Created

Wed Sep 09 18:57:41 +0000 2020

Likes

235

Retweets

29

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available
Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Typically likely voter polls help Republicans but hurt incumbents. Since Trump is a Republican but an incumbent, our prior was that Trump would only gain 1 point or so from RV>LV. And that's actually been pretty close so far; he's gaining maybe 0.5 points or something on average. — PolitiTweet.org

Daniel W. Drezner @dandrezner

Hey, polling mavens: is it me or has the likely voter/registered voter partisan margin been flipped? I used to reme… https://t.co/v2jvGIfTw1

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Redistrict @FiveThirtyEight Our *polling average* has Arizona as the tipping-point state now, where Biden is +5.1, versus +7.6 nationally. Our *forecast* has Pennsylvania as the tipping-point state at Biden +4.3, versus +6.6 nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

Followed By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@foxjust @conorsen @StaceyShick I hope they make outdoor seating year-round and let restaurants get creative with tents, heat-lamps, etc. It probably doesn't work most days in Dec.-Feb. but you can claw back November and March that way. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated