Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 1, 2021

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Wed Sep 09 19:06:38 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@foxjust @conorsen @StaceyShick I hope they make outdoor seating year-round and let restaurants get creative with tents, heat-lamps, etc. It probably doesn't work most days in Dec.-Feb. but you can claw back November and March that way. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Typically likely voter polls help Republicans but hurt incumbents. Since Trump is a Republican but an incumbent, our prior was that Trump would only gain 1 point or so from RV>LV. And that's actually been pretty close so far; he's gaining maybe 0.5 points or something on average. — PolitiTweet.org

Hey, polling mavens: is it me or has the likely voter/registered voter partisan margin been flipped? I used to reme… https://t.co/v2jvGIfTw1

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Oh shit somebody caught on. — PolitiTweet.org

99% of the punditry out there is just people finding new ways to say Biden is ahead, but the race isn’t over.

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated