Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 08 13:24:00 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. Labor Day is an inflection point where polls *begin* to get more reliable. But we're still at just the beginning of the end, if you will. There are still the debates and lots of campaigning and news left to go. 4. Polls are off by an average of ~3 points on Election Day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1. It's a closer race in the Electoral College, with Biden ahead by perhaps 4-5 points in the tipping-point states. 2. Our model expects the race to tighten by a point or so because of improvement in the economy. (cont.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart I mean, I think there's always the question of how people are experiencing the economy vs. what the "objective" data says. I think that's an intrinsic issue with economic fundamentals models, and one reason why they aren't all that accurate out-of-sample. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated