Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 27, 2021

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Tue Sep 08 13:20:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

1. It's a closer race in the Electoral College, with Biden ahead by perhaps 4-5 points in the tipping-point states. 2. Our model expects the race to tighten by a point or so because of improvement in the economy. (cont.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, our *forecast* gives Trump a 28% chance of winning, and Biden a 72% chance. So the outcome is a long way from certain, despite Biden's current polling lead. Where do Trump's chances come from? https://t.co/ajG88SznSA https://t.co/o2t9OFGEza — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3. Labor Day is an inflection point where polls *begin* to get more reliable. But we're still at just the beginning of the end, if you will. There are still the debates and lots of campaigning and news left to go. 4. Polls are off by an average of ~3 points on Election Day. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 8, 2020 Hibernated